5 of 6 handicap averages went up, not down


Hi Reader,

Your handicap isn't your average

Back in 2019, before the World Handicap System (WHS) arrived, we published the average handicaps for men and women in three countries - USA, England and Australia.

This week we went back and lined them up against 2026.

Five of the six went up! Only the American men’s average dropped, and only by four tenths of a shot.

The one testable premise of WHS, that handicaps have fallen since its implementation, doesn’t show up in the country averages.

But an average hides things. Go underneath it, into the bands, and something did move.

The whole distribution has slid right.

In the US, golfers playing off 20 or better fell from about 83% to 78%. One in six used to play worse than 20. Now it’s more than one in five.

The ceiling moved too. Before 2020 the maximum was 36.4 for men. WHS raised it to 54.0.

But here’s a key thing to remember.

Your handicap was never meant to be your Saturday score. It’s your potential, built from the best 8 of your last 20 rounds.

The USGA’s own research says you’ll play to it, or better, only about one round in four. On a normal day you’ll shoot around three shots worse than your course handicap.

If your handicap feels unreachable, that’s because it’s designed to be.

We break it all down in this week’s video.

⛳ The R&A isn't going to fix it

So who sorts out the sandbagger in your Saturday fourball?

Not the game’s rule-makers.

At Royal Birkdale before the British Open, R&A chief executive Mark Darbon backed the World Handicap System, which has taken steady flak across Britain and Ireland over manipulation.

His answer wasn’t reform. It was education.

“People need to understand the system, and we’d ask them to display integrity when using the handicap system.”

Translation: the system stays as it is.

Which makes that suspicious 22-handicap that's winning all the competitions your club’s problem to police, not the R&A or USGA.

❓ One quick question

What do you think of your own WHS handicap if you have one.

Is it fair or was the old system better?

And here’s the ask straight from the video.

​Drop your handicap and your country in the comments. We're looking to see if our channel plays off above or below the national averages. Help settle it.

🏌️ And just for fun: what the pros would play off

Pros don’t carry official handicaps. But people have done the maths.

Golf stats guru Lou Stagner puts the average PGA Tour pro at around plus 5.4. A plus handicap means you add shots to your score.

Dig into tournament scoring and it climbs.

Golf Digest had Scottie Scheffler at plus 8.9. By mid-2025, Golf Monthly had him at plus 10.5.

And Tiger? Stagner ran his whole career as a rolling index. His best season came out at plus 9.4.

Not 2000, the year of the Tiger Slam. It was 2008. Adjust for how tournament courses are set up, and Stagner reckons it was closer to plus 11 or plus 12.

At the top of the LPGA list: Nelly Korda, plus 9.8!

And finally and most importantly we hope you are enjoying your golf!

Play well 👍

Graeme Hay

Founder, GolfingFocus.com

Golfing Focus Limited, 73 Maple Road, London, KT6 4AG
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